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Politics · 218 OPEN MARKETS· Sign up to predict

POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

MARKET PROBABILITY45%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers?

MARKET PROBABILITY82%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?

MARKET PROBABILITY91%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

MARKET PROBABILITY99%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

MARKET PROBABILITY50%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

MARKET PROBABILITY28%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

MARKET PROBABILITY59%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in almost 2 years

Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

MARKET PROBABILITY38%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 years

Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?

MARKET PROBABILITY28%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY10%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY8%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY4%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

James Comey charges dropped by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY38%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Alcatraz reopened in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY14%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY8%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY8%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

MARKET PROBABILITY98%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 11 days

Nick Fuentes federally charged?

MARKET PROBABILITY1%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY37%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY37%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY11%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

MARKET PROBABILITY97%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Elon register any party before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY10%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Fed abolished before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

USMCA extended in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY11%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

USMCA extended in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY11%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY9%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Epstein storage units raided in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY8%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Epstein storage units raided in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY8%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Obama federally charged before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY4%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Congress override any veto in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Congress override any veto in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY20%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY8%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?

MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY23%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY24%
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