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closes in about 2 monthsMassachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?
MARKET PROBABILITY70%
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closes in 20 daysWill Trump and Xi hug at their summit?
MARKET PROBABILITY27%
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closes in 20 daysWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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closes in 20 daysTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?
MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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closes in about 2 monthsMassachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?
MARKET PROBABILITY70%
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closes in 3 daysRussia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?
MARKET PROBABILITY64%
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closes in 3 monthsSaxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026?
MARKET PROBABILITY46%
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closes in 3 monthsUS x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
MARKET PROBABILITY10%
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closes in 6 monthsWill Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?
MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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closes in about 2 monthsMaryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?
MARKET PROBABILITY70%
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closes in about 2 monthsMaryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?
MARKET PROBABILITY70%
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closes in about 2 monthsMissouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?
MARKET PROBABILITY44%
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closes in about 2 monthsMissouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?
MARKET PROBABILITY44%
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closes in 13 daysCanada imposes Welland Canal toll on US ships by September 30?
MARKET PROBABILITY4%
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closes in 16 daysRenan Santos participates in debate before first round?
MARKET PROBABILITY97%
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closes in about 1 monthHoward Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?
MARKET PROBABILITY13%
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closes in about 1 monthRFK Jr. Out by October 31?
MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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closes in 3 monthsIran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?
MARKET PROBABILITY8%
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closes in 13 daysTrump out as President by September 30?
MARKET PROBABILITY1%
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closes in about 2 monthsWill any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?
MARKET PROBABILITY24%
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closes in 10 monthsTrump Space Academy begins training by June 30, 2027?
MARKET PROBABILITY11%
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closes in 3 monthsTrump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?
MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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closes in 18 daysQuebec General Election: PVQ Wins a Seat?
MARKET PROBABILITY3%
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closes in 18 daysQuebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?
MARKET PROBABILITY18%
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closes in 3 monthsWill Trump rename an ocean in 2026?
MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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closes in 18 daysQuebec General Election: QS Wins a Seat?
MARKET PROBABILITY98%
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closes in 3 monthsCanada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?
MARKET PROBABILITY4%
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closes in 3 monthsCanada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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closes in 13 daysUS expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?
MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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closes in 3 monthsHu Jintao public appearance by December 31?
MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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closes in about 2 monthsArizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?
MARKET PROBABILITY49%
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closes in about 2 monthsArizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?
MARKET PROBABILITY49%
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closes in about 2 monthsArizona passes traffic camera ballot measure?
MARKET PROBABILITY80%
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closes in about 2 monthsArizona passes traffic camera ballot measure?
MARKET PROBABILITY80%
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closes in 13 daysEric Swalwell charged by September 30?
MARKET PROBABILITY18%
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closes in 16 daysFlávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?
MARKET PROBABILITY39%
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closes in 3 monthsWill the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
MARKET PROBABILITY34%
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closes in 3 daysWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?
MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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closes in 9 daysWill Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?
MARKET PROBABILITY93%
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closes in 16 daysLula participates in debate before first round?
MARKET PROBABILITY42%
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closes in 3 daysRussia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
MARKET PROBABILITY65%
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closes in 3 daysRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
MARKET PROBABILITY0%
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closes in about 2 monthsLeague City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?
MARKET PROBABILITY50%
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closes in about 2 monthsLeague City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?
MARKET PROBABILITY50%
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closes in about 2 monthsAlaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?
MARKET PROBABILITY30%
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closes in about 2 monthsAlaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?
MARKET PROBABILITY30%
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closes in about 2 monthsFirst Round Outright Winner in the GA-10 House Election?
MARKET PROBABILITY62%
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closes in about 2 monthsFirst Round Outright Winner in the GA-10 House Election?
MARKET PROBABILITY62%
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closes in about 2 monthsFirst Round Outright Winner in the GA-03 House Election?
MARKET PROBABILITY62%
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closes in about 2 monthsFirst Round Outright Winner in the GA-03 House Election?
MARKET PROBABILITY62%
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