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Elections · 31 OPEN MARKETS· Sign up to predict

ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 days

Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?

MARKET PROBABILITY64%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 days

Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?

MARKET PROBABILITY64%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY27%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 22 days

Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?

MARKET PROBABILITY34%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 16 days

Renan Santos participates in debate before first round?

MARKET PROBABILITY97%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 18 days

Quebec General Election: PVQ Wins a Seat?

MARKET PROBABILITY3%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 18 days

Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?

MARKET PROBABILITY17%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 days

Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?

MARKET PROBABILITY65%
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closes in 3 days

Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?

MARKET PROBABILITY0%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY46%
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closes in 3 months

Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY50%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 18 days

Quebec General Election: QS Wins a Seat?

MARKET PROBABILITY98%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Haiti elections delayed again?

MARKET PROBABILITY70%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 16 days

Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?

MARKET PROBABILITY39%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY33%
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closes in 3 days

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 16 days

Lula participates in debate before first round?

MARKET PROBABILITY36%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 days

Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?

MARKET PROBABILITY65%
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closes in 3 days

Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?

MARKET PROBABILITY0%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY14%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 1 month

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

MARKET PROBABILITY90%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY4%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will another sitting Australian MP join One Nation in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY53%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will another sitting Australian MP join One Nation in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY53%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 1 month

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

MARKET PROBABILITY39%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 1 month

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

MARKET PROBABILITY94%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY85%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 9 days

Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?

MARKET PROBABILITY94%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY14%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 16 days

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

MARKET PROBABILITY8%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY18%
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