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Trump · 103 OPEN MARKETS· Sign up to predict

POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 20 days

Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?

MARKET PROBABILITY27%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 20 days

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 20 days

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY10%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 6 months

Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 1 month

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY13%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 1 month

RFK Jr. Out by October 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

MARKET PROBABILITY8%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 13 days

Trump out as President by September 30?

MARKET PROBABILITY1%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 10 months

Trump Space Academy begins training by June 30, 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY11%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 13 days

Will Trump praise Allah again by September 30?

MARKET PROBABILITY40%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY3%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY13%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 13 days

US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?

MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in almost 2 years

Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

MARKET PROBABILITY38%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 years

Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?

MARKET PROBABILITY28%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY10%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY8%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY4%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

James Comey charges dropped by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY38%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Alcatraz reopened in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY14%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY8%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

MARKET PROBABILITY98%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 12 days

Nick Fuentes federally charged?

MARKET PROBABILITY1%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY37%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY11%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

MARKET PROBABILITY97%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Elon register any party before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY10%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Fed abolished before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

USMCA extended in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY11%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY9%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Epstein storage units raided in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY8%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Obama federally charged before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY4%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Congress override any veto in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY20%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY8%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?

MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY23%
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