Politics
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Congress · 14 OPEN MARKETS· Sign up to predict

POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 13 days

Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

MARKET PROBABILITY16%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 14 days

Government shutdown by October 1?

MARKET PROBABILITY1%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY8%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY37%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Congress override any veto in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY3%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

MARKET PROBABILITY1%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 2 months

Blue tsunami in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY45%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 2 months

Blue wave in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY80%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in over 2 years

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

MARKET PROBABILITY69%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

MARKET PROBABILITY3%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 4 months

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

MARKET PROBABILITY8%
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