Middle East · 28 OPEN MARKETS· Sign up to predict
GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 1 monthWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?
MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsUS-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?
MARKET PROBABILITY10%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
MARKET PROBABILITY13%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsJoseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
MARKET PROBABILITY9%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
MARKET PROBABILITY33%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsWill Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsWill UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
MARKET PROBABILITY9%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsUAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
MARKET PROBABILITY4%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?
MARKET PROBABILITY25%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
MARKET PROBABILITY88%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsU.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsWill Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
MARKET PROBABILITY3%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsIran nuclear test before 2027?
MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
MARKET PROBABILITY10%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
MARKET PROBABILITY13%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsUAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsIran Nuke before 2027?
MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 13 daysIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?
MARKET PROBABILITY1%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
MARKET PROBABILITY11%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 13 daysUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?
MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?
MARKET PROBABILITY13%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
MARKET PROBABILITY8%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
MARKET PROBABILITY13%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
MARKET PROBABILITY17%
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