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China · 20 OPEN MARKETS· Sign up to predict

GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 20 days

Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?

MARKET PROBABILITY27%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 20 days

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 20 days

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

MARKET PROBABILITY8%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 13 days

US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?

MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

China ballistic missile launch by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY19%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY28%
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closes in 3 months

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY4%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY12%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

China coup attempt before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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closes in 3 months

US x China Military clash before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY3%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY89%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY4%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 9 months

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY8%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY3%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 12 days

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY0%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in over 1 year

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY12%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY4%
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