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Israel · 16 OPEN MARKETS· Sign up to predict

GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 1 month

Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY11%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 1 month

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY24%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY13%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY33%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY11%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY3%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY10%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY13%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY8%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY17%
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