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Iran · 14 OPEN MARKETS· Sign up to predict

GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY99%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

MARKET PROBABILITY24%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 2 months

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

MARKET PROBABILITY13%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 1 month

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY4%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY12%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 12 days

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

MARKET PROBABILITY1%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 12 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

MARKET PROBABILITY1%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY24%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

US military draft authorized in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY3%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY18%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY3%
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