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Trump · 103 OPEN MARKETS· Sign up to predict

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closes in 3 months

Will Trump nationalize elections?

MARKET PROBABILITY8%
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closes in 3 months

US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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closes in 3 months

Obama arrested before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY3%
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closes in 3 months

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY3%
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closes in 3 months

Will Trump resign before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY3%
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closes in 3 months

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY22%
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closes in 3 months

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY8%
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closes in 3 months

Trump on $250 bill this year?

MARKET PROBABILITY3%
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closes in 3 months

Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY4%
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closes in 3 months

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY0%
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closes in 3 months

Trump goes to space in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY4%
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closes in 3 months

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY3%
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closes in 3 months

Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?

MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY13%
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Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY4%
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closes in 3 months

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY4%
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closes in 3 months

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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closes in over 2 years

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

MARKET PROBABILITY69%
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closes in 3 months

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY14%
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closes in 3 months

Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY1%
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closes in 3 months

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY8%
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closes in 3 months

NATO dissolves before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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closes in over 1 year

Maduro guilty of all counts?

MARKET PROBABILITY20%
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closes in 3 months

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY3%
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closes in 3 months

Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

MARKET PROBABILITY9%
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Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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closes in 3 months

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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closes in 3 months

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY3%
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closes in about 2 months

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

MARKET PROBABILITY3%
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closes in 3 months

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY9%
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US x China Military clash before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY3%
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closes in 3 months

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY3%
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closes in 3 months

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY89%
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closes in 3 months

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY1%
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closes in 3 months

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

MARKET PROBABILITY26%
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closes in 3 months

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

MARKET PROBABILITY98%
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Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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closes in 3 months

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

MARKET PROBABILITY4%
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closes in 3 months

SBF released from custody in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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closes in 3 months

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY3%
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closes in 3 months

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY3%
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closes in 3 months

Will Alberta join the US?

MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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closes in 3 months

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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closes in 3 months

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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