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WEATHERPOLYMARKET
closes in 13 days

Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1?

MARKET PROBABILITY35%
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TECHPOLYMARKET
closes in over 1 year

Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO?

MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 17 days

Quebec General Election: QS Wins a Seat?

MARKET PROBABILITY98%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 17 days

Quebec General Election: QS Wins a Seat?

MARKET PROBABILITY98%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY4%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 12 days

US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?

MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?

MARKET PROBABILITY49%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?

MARKET PROBABILITY49%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Arizona passes traffic camera ballot measure?

MARKET PROBABILITY80%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Arizona passes traffic camera ballot measure?

MARKET PROBABILITY80%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 13 days

Eric Swalwell charged by September 30?

MARKET PROBABILITY18%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Haiti elections delayed again?

MARKET PROBABILITY70%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 15 days

Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?

MARKET PROBABILITY39%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 15 days

Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?

MARKET PROBABILITY39%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY34%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY33%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 2 days

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 2 days

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 9 days

Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?

MARKET PROBABILITY93%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 15 days

Lula participates in debate before first round?

MARKET PROBABILITY42%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 15 days

Lula participates in debate before first round?

MARKET PROBABILITY36%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 2 days

Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?

MARKET PROBABILITY65%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 2 days

Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?

MARKET PROBABILITY65%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 2 days

Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?

MARKET PROBABILITY0%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 2 days

Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?

MARKET PROBABILITY0%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?

MARKET PROBABILITY50%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?

MARKET PROBABILITY50%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

MARKET PROBABILITY30%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

MARKET PROBABILITY30%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-10 House Election?

MARKET PROBABILITY62%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-10 House Election?

MARKET PROBABILITY62%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-03 House Election?

MARKET PROBABILITY62%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-03 House Election?

MARKET PROBABILITY62%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Senate Election?

MARKET PROBABILITY96%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-05 House Election?

MARKET PROBABILITY86%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-05 House Election?

MARKET PROBABILITY86%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-02 House Election?

MARKET PROBABILITY95%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-02 House Election?

MARKET PROBABILITY95%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-06 House Election?

MARKET PROBABILITY97%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-06 House Election?

MARKET PROBABILITY97%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-12 House Election?

MARKET PROBABILITY95%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-12 House Election?

MARKET PROBABILITY95%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election?

MARKET PROBABILITY86%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election?

MARKET PROBABILITY86%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-11 House Election?

MARKET PROBABILITY62%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-11 House Election?

MARKET PROBABILITY62%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-13 House Election?

MARKET PROBABILITY72%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-13 House Election?

MARKET PROBABILITY72%
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