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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 1 monthWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?
MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 1 monthUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?
MARKET PROBABILITY3%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?
MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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IRANPOLYMARKET
closes in 2 monthsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
MARKET PROBABILITY13%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 2 monthsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
MARKET PROBABILITY13%
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IRANPOLYMARKET
closes in about 1 monthStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 1 monthStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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WEATHERPOLYMARKET
closes in 13 daysEbola: new country confirmed before October 1?
MARKET PROBABILITY35%
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TECHPOLYMARKET
closes in over 1 yearDario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO?
MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 18 daysQuebec General Election: QS Wins a Seat?
MARKET PROBABILITY98%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 18 daysQuebec General Election: QS Wins a Seat?
MARKET PROBABILITY98%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsCanada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?
MARKET PROBABILITY4%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsCanada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 13 daysUS expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?
MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsHu Jintao public appearance by December 31?
MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 monthsArizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?
MARKET PROBABILITY49%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 monthsArizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?
MARKET PROBABILITY49%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 monthsArizona passes traffic camera ballot measure?
MARKET PROBABILITY80%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 monthsArizona passes traffic camera ballot measure?
MARKET PROBABILITY80%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 13 daysEric Swalwell charged by September 30?
MARKET PROBABILITY18%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsHaiti elections delayed again?
MARKET PROBABILITY70%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 16 daysFlávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?
MARKET PROBABILITY39%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 16 daysFlávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?
MARKET PROBABILITY39%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsWill the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
MARKET PROBABILITY34%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsWill the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
MARKET PROBABILITY33%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 daysWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?
MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 daysWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?
MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 9 daysWill Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?
MARKET PROBABILITY93%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 16 daysLula participates in debate before first round?
MARKET PROBABILITY42%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 16 daysLula participates in debate before first round?
MARKET PROBABILITY36%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 daysRussia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
MARKET PROBABILITY65%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 daysRussia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
MARKET PROBABILITY65%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 daysRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
MARKET PROBABILITY0%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 daysRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
MARKET PROBABILITY0%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 monthsLeague City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?
MARKET PROBABILITY50%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 monthsLeague City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?
MARKET PROBABILITY50%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 monthsAlaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?
MARKET PROBABILITY30%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 monthsAlaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?
MARKET PROBABILITY30%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 monthsFirst Round Outright Winner in the GA-10 House Election?
MARKET PROBABILITY62%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 monthsFirst Round Outright Winner in the GA-10 House Election?
MARKET PROBABILITY62%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 monthsFirst Round Outright Winner in the GA-03 House Election?
MARKET PROBABILITY62%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 monthsFirst Round Outright Winner in the GA-03 House Election?
MARKET PROBABILITY62%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 1 monthWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?
MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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ECONOMYPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsFederal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?
MARKET PROBABILITY13%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 13 daysUS imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?
MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
MARKET PROBABILITY4%
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WEATHERPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
MARKET PROBABILITY3%
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CULTUREPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsMadison Beer and Justin Herbert confirmed married by December 31?
MARKET PROBABILITY27%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsNicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?
MARKET PROBABILITY14%
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WEATHERPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 monthsWill California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?
MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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