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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition

MARKET PROBABILITY43%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition

MARKET PROBABILITY43%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 years

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

MARKET PROBABILITY28%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 years

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

MARKET PROBABILITY22%
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CULTUREPOLYMARKET
closes in 11 months

Chud the Builder convicted?

MARKET PROBABILITY47%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET

LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?

MARKET PROBABILITY18%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET

LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?

MARKET PROBABILITY18%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET

LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?

MARKET PROBABILITY18%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET

LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?

MARKET PROBABILITY18%
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CULTUREPOLYMARKET
closes in 11 months

Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?

MARKET PROBABILITY8%
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CULTUREPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 12 days

Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

MARKET PROBABILITY16%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 13 days

Government shutdown by October 1?

MARKET PROBABILITY1%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 13 days

Government shutdown by October 1?

MARKET PROBABILITY1%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will another sitting Australian MP join One Nation in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY53%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in over 1 year

Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?

MARKET PROBABILITY80%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 1 month

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

MARKET PROBABILITY39%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 1 month

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

MARKET PROBABILITY94%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY84%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY85%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in over 1 year

Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?

MARKET PROBABILITY88%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 8 days

Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?

MARKET PROBABILITY94%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

California voter ID referendum passes?

MARKET PROBABILITY36%
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ELECTIONSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY14%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?

MARKET PROBABILITY66%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?

MARKET PROBABILITY66%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

MARKET PROBABILITY45%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

MARKET PROBABILITY45%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers?

MARKET PROBABILITY82%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers?

MARKET PROBABILITY82%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?

MARKET PROBABILITY91%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?

MARKET PROBABILITY91%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

MARKET PROBABILITY99%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

MARKET PROBABILITY99%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

MARKET PROBABILITY50%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

MARKET PROBABILITY50%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

MARKET PROBABILITY28%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

MARKET PROBABILITY28%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

MARKET PROBABILITY65%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

MARKET PROBABILITY65%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

MARKET PROBABILITY4%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

MARKET PROBABILITY4%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

MARKET PROBABILITY59%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in almost 2 years

Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

MARKET PROBABILITY38%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in almost 2 years

Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

MARKET PROBABILITY38%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 years

Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?

MARKET PROBABILITY28%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 years

Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?

MARKET PROBABILITY28%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY10%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY8%
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