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CRYPTOPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY1%
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CRYPTOPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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CRYPTOPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY32%
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FINANCEPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY90%
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TECHPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY3%
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FINANCEPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY13%
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ECONOMYPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY4%
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TECHPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY26%
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FINANCEPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

MARKET PROBABILITY8%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY9%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY19%
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ECONOMYPOLYMARKET
closes in 7 months

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

MARKET PROBABILITY88%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 12 days

Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?

MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

China ballistic missile launch by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY19%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY4%
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CULTUREPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY8%
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CULTUREPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY31%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition

MARKET PROBABILITY53%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition

MARKET PROBABILITY53%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

MARKET PROBABILITY45%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

MARKET PROBABILITY45%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

California Recall Election Reform Proposition

MARKET PROBABILITY47%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

California Recall Election Reform Proposition

MARKET PROBABILITY47%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?

MARKET PROBABILITY64%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?

MARKET PROBABILITY64%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition

MARKET PROBABILITY55%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition

MARKET PROBABILITY55%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?

MARKET PROBABILITY34%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?

MARKET PROBABILITY34%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY56%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY56%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

California Rainy Day Fund Proposition

MARKET PROBABILITY68%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

California Rainy Day Fund Proposition

MARKET PROBABILITY68%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

California Tax Spend Audit Proposition

MARKET PROBABILITY53%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

California Tax Spend Audit Proposition

MARKET PROBABILITY53%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

MARKET PROBABILITY64%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

MARKET PROBABILITY64%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition

MARKET PROBABILITY73%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition

MARKET PROBABILITY73%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

California Clinic Funding Proposition

MARKET PROBABILITY30%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

California Clinic Funding Proposition

MARKET PROBABILITY30%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition

MARKET PROBABILITY56%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition

MARKET PROBABILITY56%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

California Homebuying Loan Program Proposition

MARKET PROBABILITY73%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

California Homebuying Loan Program Proposition

MARKET PROBABILITY73%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 years

Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

California Immunology Research Bond Proposition

MARKET PROBABILITY59%
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POLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in about 2 months

California Immunology Research Bond Proposition

MARKET PROBABILITY59%
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