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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY25%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY88%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY4%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY3%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY3%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY10%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY10%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY10%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY13%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY13%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY13%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY13%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY8%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Iran Nuke before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY6%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 11 days

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

MARKET PROBABILITY1%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 11 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

MARKET PROBABILITY1%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY12%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY8%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY17%
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ECONOMYPOLYMARKET
closes in 6 months

Japan recession in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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ECONOMYPOLYMARKET
closes in 6 months

Japan recession in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY7%
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ECONOMYPOLYMARKET
closes in 6 months

UK Recession in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY10%
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ECONOMYPOLYMARKET
closes in 6 months

UK Recession in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY10%
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ECONOMYPOLYMARKET
closes in 5 months

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

MARKET PROBABILITY8%
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ECONOMYPOLYMARKET
closes in 5 months

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

MARKET PROBABILITY8%
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ECONOMYPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY9%
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ECONOMYPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY67%
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ECONOMYPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

ECB rate cut in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY5%
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ECONOMYPOLYMARKET
closes in 4 months

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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ECONOMYPOLYMARKET
closes in 4 months

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY2%
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ECONOMYPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

MARKET PROBABILITY83%
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WEATHERPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY4%
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WEATHERPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY3%
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WEATHERPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY3%
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WEATHERPOLYMARKET
closes in 3 months

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

MARKET PROBABILITY1%
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