← FEED/GEOPOLITICS
GEOPOLITICSPOLYMARKET

Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?

2%
Market Probability
0
Total Predictions
β€”
Avg User Estimate
VIEW ON POLYMARKET β†—Opens polymarket.com in a new tab.

πŸ“… Closes October 1, 2026 (in 13 days)

This market will resolve to β€œYes” if Donald Trump or the Trump Administration submits a 48-hour report consistent with the War Powers Resolution regarding the introduction of U.S. armed forces into hostilities or imminent hostilities in Yemen or against the Houthis between the date of market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to β€œNo.” The market will resolve based on the date of the report, not the date of publication. This market will remain open for 14 days after the specified date (ET) to allow for a qualifying report to be published. If no such report is published by that time, this market will resolve to β€œNo”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the White House, the Congressional Record, and the NYU Law War Powers Resolution Reporting Project; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

πŸ”’

Sign in to view predictions

See what other forecasters are predicting and their reasoning. Join the conversation.